That's a LOT of points to lay on the Jags though

Balloon Boy’s father), the Liver’s biological father (a.k.a. Last week’s record: 10-5 2009 record against the spread: 91-52-1 (.632) Buffalo at Jacksonville (-8 )I think Dick Jauron got off easy. He might have had to stick around for this game and watch Maurice Jones-Drew run all over his team.Jacksonville can’t afford to blow this if they hope to move up the wild card chain in the AFC. That's a LOT of points to lay on the Jags though. Pick: Buffalo Indianapolis at Baltimore (1 )I must have walked away from that Colts/Pats game at least three times in the second half to smoke a cigarette thinking “It’s over There’s no way the Colts come back and win. Not unless the Patriots completely melt down and choke it away. And that never happens with the Patriots.”I guess I forgot the 2007 AFC Championship game and the fact that Peyton Manning has a hard-on for night games.I’m not quite sure if the better team won, strangely enough. The Colts CLEARLY have secondary issues, as the Patriots offense showed.Joe Flacco has the ability to expose it.

The Colts have to lose some time right I think the Ravens get the job done here Pick: Baltimore Atlanta at N.Y. Giants (-6 )Both of these teams come in desperate for a win. The Giants, despite having a bye week, stayed in the NFC East race with both the Eagles and Cowboys losing last week.Atlanta has been a huge disappointment so far with Matt Ryan having a serious case of the sophomore slump. Michael Turner’s status for this game is very doubtful with a sprained ankle.That’s a shame for the Falcons, because he had just regained his 2008 form before suffering the injury last weekend. If Ryan can attack a still banged up Giants secondary, the Falcons can hang around but they would have to play error free, something they’ve been unable to do recently.As bad as the Giants looked before the bye, it’s hard to see them losing a fifth straight game Whoever loses here can kiss their playoff hopes goodbye. Pick: New York Washington at Dallas (-11)I’m going to try and NOT be a knee-jerk Cowboys fan BUT , after the debacle in Lambeau, this game just became a lot more important for Dallas as they begin their Thanksgiving week of two games in five days.The Redskins raised some eyebrows in beating a fading Broncos team but should expect a better Dallas team then the one that nearly got shut out against Green Bay last Sunday.

The Cowboys suffered some key injuries last week in the loss as right tackle Marc Colombo is likely out for the season and safety Ken Hamlin is out for two to four weeks.Can Roy Williams be any more useless than what he’s shown so far He looks like he’s confused every time a ball goes his way. Great trade there, Jerry.Felix Jones CLEARLY has not recovered from his early season injury and needs to be featured more. Then again, when you rush the ball only 14 times, no running back is going to look good Another great Jason Garrett moment in the sun. Cowboys/Redskins may not have the luster it once had, but it’s still one of the great blood hatred rivalries in the NFL.If the Cowboys can expose the weak offensive line of the Redskins and keep Ladell Betts in check they should have an easy time here. Then again, this is the Dallas Cowboys and nothing is what it seems. Pick: Washington Pittsburgh at Kansas City (10)With Cincinnati in the driver’s seat in the AFC North, the Steelers have to win games like this in order to claim a wild card spot.