The French population dynamism belies not despite the bleak economic situation. It equal even its own records. In 2010, 828 babies were in the world in France (797.000 in metropolitan France), or as much as in 2006 and 2008, two more good years in the last quarter-century, while the number of women of childbearing age fell last year. "In metropolitan France, the number of births has never exceeded 800,000 years 1980 and 1981, two exceptional since the end of the boom in 1973", note the Insee, which published yesterday its demographic balance for the year 2010. It is made from the figures of the legal people published December 31 (which correspond to the population at January 1, 2008), and extrapolated to establish an estimate of the population at January 1, 2011.
After be passed under the symbolic threshold of 2 children per woman in 2009, the France is a fertility of 2.01, the highest rate of the European Union after the Ireland (2.07). "This figure shows that economic considerations, including the effects of the crisis, do not explain everything in the demographic behaviours." "This is even more true in France where the cost of a child is socially very helped", explained Pascale Breuil, head of the unit of the demographic and social studies of the Insee. Some researchers believe even that a period of unemployment may be "the opportunity" to have a child for some couples, insofar as there is for more time to deal.
More late pregnancies
As a comparison, the Germany and the Italy must be satisfied with a fertility rate of only 1.4. Side French, it is women over 30 years to be these very good figures, especially those aged 35 and more who delay their calendar of births without in the number. "Women are twice as many as twenty years to give birth after 40 years ago and he must go back to the years that followed the second world war to find important late births", specify the demographers of the Insee. Because of its more frequent late births, the France reached this year the symbolic bar of 30 years as the average age at birth, two years more than in 1988.
This high fertility combined with a life expectancy which has taken over colors after two years of pause (men and women have each earned 4 months this year), explains the good of the French natural balance: the population grew from 358.000 people in 2010, reaching a total of 65 million (63.1 in metropolis and 1.9 in the DOM). That place the France in second place in the Europe of twenty-seven, behind Germany (81.8 million inhabitants). There again, it's a French specificity. The Italy and the Spain see for example their population grow, but the migratory balance above all. In France on the contrary, the migration balance ( 75,000) remains very modest with the natural balance ( 283.000). It is same in retreat from some years where he could exceed 100,000 people.
Finally, if the France ages (mortality decreases at all ages in 2010), the proportion of more than 65 years remains low (16.8) compared to other countries (20.7 in Germany). But the situation should not last, with the massive influx of baby boomers in the instalment of more than 65 years.
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